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How to build resilient cash flow in an uncertain business environment

AnsidJuly 15, 2020

Cash flow is the lifeblood of any business. This is not a new insight. But the businesses that actually survive disruptions, economic downturns, demand shocks, supply chain failures, are not always the ones with the most cash. They are the ones with the clearest picture of their cash position and the fastest ability to respond when that picture changes.

Why Cash Visibility Matters More Than Cash Reserves

A company with $500K in the bank and no cash forecast is more vulnerable than a company with $200K in the bank and a 13-week rolling cash model.

The first company will be surprised. The second company has already planned for three scenarios and knows what actions to take at what thresholds.

The difference is not the amount of cash. It is the quality of the information and the speed of the response.

The 13-Week Cash Forecast

The 13-week rolling cash forecast is the most practical tool for cash management in a scaling business. It covers a quarter, long enough to show emerging problems, short enough to remain accurate.

It should include:

Cash inflows. Collections by customer, projected by payment terms and historical patterns. Not just invoices issued, actual expected cash receipt dates.

Cash outflows. Payroll, supplier payments, rent, debt service. Broken down by week, not averaged.

Net position. Where you will be at the end of each week. Where the low points are. What triggers action.

Updated weekly. Not monthly. Weekly, because cash moves weekly and the decisions that affect it, collections calls, payment timing, spend approvals, need to happen in real time.

Building Resilience Into the Operating Model

Resilient cash flow is not about hoarding cash. It is about building the operating model so that cash does not become a surprise.

Tighten collections. The average SMB carries 45-60 days in accounts receivable. Reducing that by 10 days is the equivalent of a cash injection without borrowing. Weekly collections management is where this happens.

Manage disbursements actively. Not just approving invoices. Actively timing payments against your cash position. Preserving optionality when cash is tight.

Know your minimum cash floor. Every business has a level below which operations are at risk. Know what yours is. Build a trigger so that when you approach it, the response is automatic and immediate.

The Bottom Line

The businesses that navigated recent economic disruptions best were not the ones that reacted fastest when things got bad. They were the ones that saw it coming, because they had weekly cash visibility and a plan for what to do when the numbers moved.

That visibility is a decision, not a luxury. Build it before you need it.

Put This Into Practice

See what this looks like for your business.

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